Note to Self on
How to Live
by Paul VanRaden
2023, updated 2026
You (Paul)
wrote a poem in 1997 stating the goal of your life, a goal you hoped could
become everyone’s:
Your goal is
easy to remember but not very specific, and few people take poems seriously.
You need to define the goal better and then help lift the world’s total
happiness including your own by deriving a more exact theory of how to live. Now
is the time to do the math and develop the methods that will maximize global
happiness. To increase total happiness, your main steps are: 1) better
understand how the world works and what is possible, 2) define how best to
measure the goal of increasing global happiness, 3) monitor the current status
of the world, 4) list the possible actions you could take, 5) help prevent evil people or natural disasters from
decreasing happiness, 6) choose the option each day expected to result in the most
future happiness, 7) teach others how to think, 8) give to charity, and 9) keep
living until your expected contribution to future happiness falls below some
minimum.
1. Understand the world
A deeper
understanding of how any action causes any effect allows better predicting how
each decision might affect your own and others’ future happiness. Predictions
should include the direct intended effects plus any other effects not intended
or not known. Formal education gives you a basic understanding of science, math,
biology, history, culture, language, and religion to help you sort fact from
fiction. Parental training and other human interactions help you know and judge
what actions seem right or wrong. Natural human instinct makes your ability to
predict equal to or better than any other animal. Practical experience lets you
better predict what can or cannot be done and how others will react. Accurate
predictions require an accurate model of the world, the people, and how they
interact.
2. Define the goal
A goal to
simply maximize your own income or happiness is a reasonable goal, but not
optimal. In a free market, that goal causes you to do only the work that is
most rewarding and buy the things that give you the most happiness per unit of
currency (Adam
Smith, 1776). You should go beyond Adam Smith and simple cash flow
analysis: Do some good for goodness’ sake rather than for profit. But direct benefits
to yourself are easier to predict than changes in other people’s happiness, and
present benefits are easier to predict and measure than potential future
effects. Discounts can be applied to future or indirect effects compared to
current, direct effects, but remember that lasting joy for many should count
more than a quick smile for one.
A guaranteed
small benefit may be a poorer goal than choosing a small probability of a big benefit.
Happiness is a nonlinear function of wealth. Having $2 million in the bank does
not make you twice as happy as $1 million, and becoming a billionaire does not
make you 1000 times happier than becoming a millionaire. But with no wealth you
might become more like an animal just trying to stay alive another day because
dying of starvation or exposure would reduce your future happiness to 0. Money
and resources are very important, but many nice things in life such as ideas,
advice, or love do not have a market price. Charity and doing volunteer work
can create happiness for others but often at a cost to the giver.
An efficient
economy can use copyrights, patents, or intellectual property as rewards for
investing in ideas rather than products and can use penalties to reduce
external costs such as pollution or crime. Patents and intellectual property
often give the full benefit for decades to the first discoverer even if another
would have invented the same thing a little later. Your math should consider if
and when someone else will do that good deed if you choose not to. You should
only take credit for the happy people-years that your actions cause minus the
happy people-years that would have resulted later if those people had to wait
for a second nice person to come along. For example, Thomas Edison got credit
for inventing the light bulb in 1880, but we would have just as much light today
if the light bulb had been invented by someone else a few years later.
The
contributions of your actions to global happiness should be predicted and
summed across time and across all those you might affect as:
∑time ∑people Δhap – ∑time ∑people Δhap_2nd ,
where Δhap measures the increase in your own
and other people’s happiness from your actions and Δhap_2nd is the change in happiness that
would have resulted if people had to wait for someone else to do the nice
things that you did.
3. Monitor the status
Your actions
should consider what is happening in the world right now or is predicted to
happen. That includes a) monitoring your own health and learning how to improve
it, b) living in a place likely to provide a nice environment now and in the
future, c) getting accurate news about current and expected future events that
might improve or destroy personal, local, or global lives and livelihoods such
as weather, economics, entertainment, disease, crime, or war. Predictions are most
accurate with up-to-date information about your own health and ability, what
else is happening locally and globally, or new products and technologies that
may help you, your neighbors, and everyone improve their happiness.
4. List the options
The easiest
option is often to continue doing things you have been doing if those things
work. You could also think about changing your job, location, habits, or
getting married, or having kids. In daily life you can change your direction, timing,
effort, leisure, recreation, or sleep to be happier. You can do things that
others request, or you can explore what other choices might be available. You
should not spend forever listing all potential options but instead focus on
those most likely to succeed or those with the biggest benefits. For example,
chess players or chess computers may consider many future moves, but they focus
mainly on those that can lead to winning, not losing. In chess, each move has only
a limited number of choices whereas life can have nearly unlimited choices and
is therefore more interesting and harder to optimize. Like chess, life can be
more fun if you decide within a reasonable time limit instead of thinking too
long about each possible next move.
5. Prevent evil and disasters
While you
work to do good, a few other people are evil and try to harm individuals or the
world. For example, many people were ruled or murdered by an evil madman during
World War II. Many other people of “the greatest generation” risked or gave
their lives to save their and future people’s ability to live free. To win,
they could not simply create happiness. First, they had to stop the march of
evil and destroy the resources that the madman used against them, including the
people he controlled. To continue doing good you should avoid letting others do
you harm. But sometimes, as in World War II, the best option may be to risk
your life if that gives a better future to others. Jobs such as security,
police, and military may prevent declines in happiness rather than directly
increasing it. Too often, the most productive lives get cut short by evil or
insane acts.
Natural
disasters can also end even very well-planned lives. Learning how to avoid or
reduce the effects of bad events might be as valuable as directly improving
people’s lives. Jobs such as firefighting, emergency management, or ambulance care
can reduce harm and save lives. Actions to reduce pollution or global warming
also can stop harm rather than create a direct benefit to you. As a society,
being ready for anything might be a good investment even if some bad events,
like pandemics or large meteorites, do not come right away. Almost the same
math applies to preventing harm as to doing good, and both require estimating
who would do it if you did not.
The best choice
of what to do may depend on your age. When you were very young your main jobs
were simply eating, resting, growing, and playing. When in school another main
job was learning. During much of life, earning a living is your main job and
often takes 40 hours out of each week. Avoiding doing illegal things also may
require constant thought. Some choices have discrete, long-term effects and are
even more important such as finding a spouse, having a child or another child, finding
a better job, or retiring. Such decisions are not easily reversible and deserve
more planning and thought because those decisions can have large, direct
effects on your and others’ happiness.
Some of your
actions and investments can have exponential benefits such as becoming very
specialized and talented at a particular skill. Becoming a top businessperson,
professional athlete, or movie star can lead to larger total benefits than
becoming a ‘jack of all trades.’ However, many daily decisions about what food to
eat, how much to exercise, what to watch, where to go, or other continuous
variables have fairly flat optima, meaning that many different choices provide
nearly equal benefits, and such daily decisions may be easy to reverse the next
day if desired. You should not spend too much time trying to optimize decisions
with flat optima. On the other hand, being patient is often a good strategy. If
you predict that you will be happier on the other side of the street, you should
still look twice before crossing so that you are not run over by a truck, so that
you eventually do get to the happiness that you predict.
Your life
began about 9 months before birth, you have lived many years already, and you
have more years to live. Since you (Paul) are now 63 and a male you can expect
to live about 20 more years on average based on official U.S. social security
estimates:
Actuarial Life Table
(ssa.gov)
People live
longer in some other well-developed countries but much shorter in some poorer
countries:
https://wonderingmaps.com/wp-content/uploads/life_expectancy.png
Malthus
predicted in 1798 that our life expectancy and happiness will always be reduced
by overpopulation unless birth rates are decreased to better balance the demands
and supplies of the things you need to live. Since then, lower birth rates and
better methods to grow food, build houses, reduce disease, and prevent war now
allow many more people to live long, happy lives. The optimum number of new
babies to arrive each year depends on how much future progress and how many
future goods we expect the earth and the people of earth will provide across
their lifetimes.
Progress
itself can increase as more babies become more adults. Those future adults may learn
and teach others how to get more happiness per unit of resources consumed or
how to find more resources or produce better goods than we or Malthus
predicted. But because natural or manmade disasters happen often, living too
close to perfectly balancing the supply and demand for resources can sometimes
require rapid reductions of population. That can cause short, unhappy lives as
Malthus predicted.
People
across many regions of earth still are more crowded, have fewer local resources,
and are less happy than they could be. Total happiness is near maximum if you
maximize the ratio of happiness that you create to resources that you consume.
Your parents invested years of time raising you and your teachers helped you
understand the world to better predict causes and effects of each decision.
Your community paid taxes to provide services to enhance your life and help you
in emergencies. You should find ways to be happy, use resources efficiently,
help others become happier, work to create even more resources, raise your
children and the next generation well, and share with or teach others about
useful new products and ideas. Try to make everybody happier, including you.
Dependents
are people who depend on you to provide the support they need and beneficiaries
are those who will receive your remaining funds or property if you die. Life
insurance can give beneficiaries the same income that your employment did after
you are gone so they might have no financial incentive either way, but of
course they would prefer to have you around instead of only your insurance
payment. When you retire and stop earning pay, beneficiaries would be better
off financially if they inherit your money right away rather than after you
spend most of it. Annuities can reverse their incentive while providing you
more total income if you live longer. If you save or give some of your annuity directly
to beneficiaries instead of spending it all, their incentive will be to help
you have a long, healthy, pleasant, frugal life.
8. Give to charity
Earth has
many people and good causes who could convert your money into more happiness
than you or your beneficiaries would. While you work and pay taxes, your
government could and should find deserving people or programs and support them.
If your government has fair taxes and good social programs, you can waste less
time avoiding taxes or studying charities. But in 2025, the US government stopped
helping earth’s poorest citizens by destroying USAID with no thought, began spending
much more keeping poor people far away from our rich people, and reduced taxes
on the richest people. The new
US tax rules in 2026 now allow slightly more tax deductions for charity but
will reduce tax by only $150 on the first $1,000 if you have few other expenses
to itemize.
If rich governments
and rich people are not helping the poor, each of us should then try to guess
who needs help, how much, and how to deliver it. You can help to restore some of
that flow of charity, try to convince others to again tax the rich and help the
poor, and remind others that less charity will be needed after poor people move
to better lands, like our ancestors did.
The best impact
may be charities that deliver free ideas that everyone can use such as Wikipedia
or high-quality news such as PBS. Their goals seem like the goals for this web
site. Instead, billionaires like to buy news organizations or social media sites
and send you ideas they want to sell. Honest history and honest news reports
are worth supporting to prevent more people from becoming puppets of corporations
or dictators. Giving physical goods to poor people is also important but with less
impact if they remain poor for generations because our government stops them
from improving their lives.
Adam Smith
in his 1777 theory of
moral sentiments, Part III, Chapter II said that “Man, according to the [ancient]
stoics,
ought to regard himself, not as something separated and detached, but as a
citizen of the world, a member of the vast commonwealth of nature. To the
interest of this great community, he ought at all times to be willing that his
own little interest should be sacrificed. Whatever concerns himself, ought to
affect him no more than whatever concerns any other equally important part of
this immense system. We should view ourselves, not in the light in which our
own selfish passions are apt to place us, but in the light in which any other
citizen of the world would view us.” Smith’s Part I, Chapter IV (Of the social
passions) and Part II, Section II, Chapter II (Of the sense of justice, of
remorse, and of the consciousness of merit) also seem very useful now.
9. Die peacefully
You did not
ask to be born, and in many states or countries you have no legal option to
choose how long to live. During your 9 months of gestation, you had no
happiness because human embryos and fetuses are just like embryos and fetuses
of all other species. During late pregnancy and labor, mothers forego some happiness
and have increased health risks. Newborn human babies are less developed than
many other species and add little own happiness to the total during early ages.
For mammals, birds, and some other species, parents devote much time and many
resources to raising the next generation. Sometimes they even help raise the
grandkids instead of finding other happy things to do.
Investing in
the next generation pays off if the resulting children mature to reach their happier
years. The annual support they require gradually declines as the babies become
adults and support themselves. Human physical ability often reaches a peak
earlier than mental ability, and your prime years may depend on your job and
the training needed to succeed. Later, most adults become elderly and then may
require much more support again to remain healthy and happy. Human growth and
aging may be like building a house or a car, where the up-front investment creates
a new product that can last for years. Eventually the repair bills exceed the
future benefits that a new house or new car could provide.
The future
support needed to keep you alive may at some point exceed the future happiness
that you expect (Figure 1). The support to extend your old age could be better
invested in raising a new child with more future happiness expected. Expensive
support can be discontinued legally in many states and countries when no further
happiness is expected. You could also choose when to end your life peacefully,
but fewer governments allow that. You might need to travel to such a place to
die peacefully with dignity. Ideally, each child born could expect many years
of happy life and each adult eventually could die peacefully knowing that your
life added to global happiness.
And when you
die, your happiness can continue or even increase with “one child born in this world
to carry on, to carry on.” So wrote a 17-year-old Laura Nyro whose words became
famous in a song
by Peter, Paul, and Mary in 1966 and by Blood, Sweat, and Tears in 1969. You
can be happy and make others happy almost every day of your life.
Figure 1. Net happiness by age including that
you create minus the care you receive from others.

Example contributors to happiness
Most humans
are happier than most animals because we have tools, ideas, and choices that
animals do not have. Every year, humans can develop new tools, think of better
ideas, and create more opportunities than we had last year. We can quickly
share our progress with other humans using mass production, communication, and transportation.
Some tools, ideas, and opportunities are useful to all humans. Examples of past
products or ideas now used by most humans are in Table 1.
Table 1. Inventions, inventors, and their contributions to
global happiness per person.
|
Idea
or tool |
Inventor |
Year of invention |
Year >50% used or
accepted |
Increase in
happiness (%) |
|
Democracy |
Cleisthenes |
507 BC |
Still <50% |
100% |
|
Earth revolves around sun |
Aristarchus, Copernicus |
250 BC, 1543 |
~1750 |
1% |
|
Laws
of motion |
Newton |
1687 |
~1800 |
5% |
|
Life and people evolved |
Darwin |
1859 |
~2000 |
2% |
|
Genetic
inheritance |
Mendel |
1866 |
~1970 |
10% |
|
Telephone |
Bell |
1876 |
~2000 |
10% |
|
Light
bulb |
Edison |
1879 |
~1970 |
20% |
Potential contributions to happiness
Most humans
spend most of their time earning a living and living their life. Most also feel
better if their work helps others to live better lives. Many give to charity or
volunteer for good causes. Some also develop new ideas or tools even if they may
not benefit directly from those advances. Deciding which projects to work on is
difficult. Measuring success requires a target year of when the benefits may
arrive, how many people already favor the idea or could benefit, and how much
happier people will be. Example projects and ideas to work on are in Table 2.
Some projects such as food production also can increase population, not just
happiness per person, for a large total benefit.
Table 2. How
to make people happier.
|
Idea or tool |
Target year |
Currently
favor (%) |
Current
Prob (>50% use or acceptance) |
Increase
in happiness (%) |
|
Improve
world government |
2039 |
60 |
10 |
50 |
|
Migrate freely across earth |
2050 |
60 |
1 |
20 |
|
Believe
universe is infinite |
2050 |
20 |
5 |
2 |
|
Believe in no god |
2050 |
20 |
5 |
10 |
|
Allow
safe, early abortions |
2050 |
60 |
80 |
10 |
|
Improve human genetics |
2050 |
1 |
0.01 |
30 |
|
Improve
agricultural genetics |
2050 |
90 |
95 |
20 |
|
Eat cheap, nutritious food |
2050 |
30 |
1 |
10 |
|
Improve
music theory |
2050 |
20 |
10 |
1 |
|
Revise piano keyboard |
2050 |
10 |
2 |
0.1 |
|
Revise
Roman calendar |
2100 |
10 |
1 |
0.01 |
The idea to
maximize global happiness is not new. In his 1863 book Utilitarianism,
John Stuart Mill defined his Greatest Happiness Principle by stating on page 21
that the goal of human conduct should be “not the agent's own greatest
happiness, but the greatest amount of happiness altogether.” Today, modern communication
lets us measure and more quickly increase global happiness.