Make America Twice As Great
By Paul VanRaden
November 16, 2025
Topics
History of free migration
Technology, transportation, and discovery
Prices and economics
Labor and retirement
How many will migrate?
Words from a previous owner: Black Hawk
References
History of free migration
America is 150 times as great now as it
was 500 years ago. America has over 300 million citizens plus a few visitors but
had only 2 million citizens and no visitors before Columbus arrived. America
had 0 citizens until about 15,000 years ago when a few Russian citizens migrated
across the land bridge during the last ice age to Alaska. The immigrants from northeast
Asia discovered all regions of north and south America. Their descendants made
both continents greater than when only animals lived there.
America is 1.63 times as great now as
it was 50 years ago, but earth is 2.03 times as great when measured by number
of citizens. America’s greatness has not kept pace with the rest of the world,
and current policies are making America get further behind. In 2025, America was
1.03 times greater than 5 years ago, but earth was 1.05 times greater. The
American birth rate fell to a record low and more people emigrated out of America
than immigrated into America. Until recently, the United States was a great
nation. It attracted immigrants and its optimistic citizens had babies.
Free migration lets people control their own lives instead of
governments telling them where to live or what to do each day. Each person can
decide where and who they want to be. Those decisions are easier if people, businesses,
and governments make plans and help people find the better lives they deserve.
But few planners forecast what would or should happen after American slaves
were set free in 1865 or after the Berlin Wall fell in 1989. Lincoln did not
tell former slaves where to go or what to do after their chains were removed. Reagan
did not tell people in Europe where to go or what to do after Mr. Gorbachev
opened the gate and let their wall fall.
The obvious potential benefits of deciding for yourself are
easy to understand. The United States in 1776 declared that life, liberty, and
the pursuit of happiness are self-evident, inalienable rights of all men.
Governments should not use taxes to trap other people inside or outside of country
walls. The whole world agreed in 1948 that each person has a right to leave their
country. Politicians may try to make you fear the unknown. Instead, we should
discuss what may happen and plan the future where you and I will both have the
option to migrate freely. We could easily double the number of U.S. citizens
and Make America Twice As Great (MATAG).
Communists banned
nearly all travel into or out of Russia and the countries it controlled.
Communists also tried to completely control their economy: “The defining
characteristic of communism implemented in the Eastern Bloc was the unique
symbiosis of the state with society and the economy, resulting in politics and
economics losing their distinctive features.” East Germans who tried to move
west faced years in prison and almost 1,000 were killed for the crime of
illegally trying to cross a border that no longer exists. Their government
called them immoral deserters from their Republic and called those who helped
them “human traffickers.”
Europe had a long history of free migration: “The freedom to
travel was a part of Europe’s liberal civilization. During the hundred years
before World War I, most European economies enjoyed price stability - thanks to
the gold standard - and an unprecedented growth in the standard of living.
There were no major wars. Civil liberties and parliamentary institutions
strengthened throughout Europe and seemed likely to spread over the whole
world. Everyone believed that free migration promoted prosperity. Statesmen
took for granted that the freedom to travel was part of the market economy.”
(June 1, 1983 editorial in the Wall Street
Journal by John Gray, Jesus College, Oxford, UK).
Free migration began suddenly again in 1989, and 4% of East
Germans (600,000 of 16 million) moved to West Germany during the first year. In
the first decade, 25% (4 million) moved to West Germany but at the same time 7%
of West Germans (2 million of 63 million) moved to East Germany. During those
10 years, free migration allowed a net population increase of 0.7% per year in
the west, a 1.3% decrease per year in the east, and 6 million Germans chose to
move to the other side of an imaginary line. Differing birth rates can have
similar or larger effects. For example, birth rate per woman averages 6.1 in
Somalia causing a 3.3% population growth rate but only 1.0 in Japan, causing
their population to decrease by 0.5% last year. Average for the world is 2.3
births per woman, increasing the world population by about 0.9% in recent
years.
The 1989 switch from total control to no control of migration
happened so quickly in eastern Europe that “radical-authoritarian groups
exploited the fluidity of the situation, espoused extreme views of intolerance,
and spread paranoid conspiracy theories. New media empires served the interests
of the political elites and attacked former dissidents” (Dragostinova,
2009). In 2025, the United States seems headed very much toward
government control of society and the economy. Instead, our goal should be for
individuals to control their own futures, like most people in eastern Europe
now do, instead of governments controlling them.
After 1865, former slaves could go
anywhere in the United States, but few moved out of the southern states where
90% of African Americans lived. The 12 years of Reconstruction
gave them hope that life would improve in the south, and factories in northern
states hired mostly poor immigrants from Europe until 60 years later when that
supply of labor was limited by the Immigration Act of 1924. By 1970, 6 million
Black people had moved from southern states to northern cities to get better
jobs than those available in the south. That flow reversed after 1970 when
northern cities had fewer factory jobs due to foreign competition
but southern cities began providing more new opportunities. Thus, freedom to
move does not cause movement until better opportunities become available.
After 1492, people living in North
America, South America, and Australia and people living in Europe, Asia, and
Africa each found out that 3 other continents existed. All 6 continents already
had people living there. The technologies of ships and guns gave explorers from
Europe a big advantage in being able to trade or to take control of the
discovered continents, resources, and people. Migration from Europe and forced
migration from Africa gradually increased for about 300 years, first to Central
and South America and then to North America, because transportation was
expensive and difficult.
Modern humans began freely migrating by foot to many places
within Africa about 250,000 years ago and then to the middle east 100,000 years
ago. Humans also reached Europe and Australia by 50,000 years ago and to the
Americas before 10,000 years ago. Sometimes modern humans were stopped or
delayed by other primitive humans such as Neanderthals, but mostly their
forward progress was limited only by their need for food, clothing, and
shelter. The migration routes between Asia and Australia or North America were
closed by rising sea levels after 10,000 years ago when the last ice age ended.
Human migration stops and starts, whereas many animals migrate every year.
Technology, transportation, and discovery
Humans had to wait thousands of years for inventions of new
crops, warm clothes, controlled fire, better housing, or better weapons for
hunting before moving to places where they could not live before. Humans could
not swim to new continents or distant islands and did not realize that those
even existed. As better boats were designed or invented, new places and faster
routes to known places were discovered by traveling the sea instead of only on
land.
The first such journeys were often very difficult and risky.
People learned from early explorers and previous travelers how to move more safely and easily from place A to place B, and how to
get back to place A if life in place B got too hard or they got homesick for
the people or things in place A. Instead of waiting for their ship to come in,
people began flying from place A to many other places
and returning to place A a few days later. Migration
by airplane became much faster and easier for humans than any bird ever dreamed
about. Now while you fly, you can even get drinks, meals, and can sleep,
whereas birds must stop often to eat, drink, or rest. Traveling and migrating
are so easy now that almost every human could visit or move to someplace else.
Prices and economics
Changes in supply, demand, or weather
can cause humans or animals to prefer moving instead of staying where they are.
Seasonal migrants try to be at the right place at the right time when more food
is available, weather is good, and living is easy. Competition is always a
factor for any species. For human travel, economists can quantify effects of
competition. When migration is legal, you can easily calculate if a move makes
sense by studying prices for food, housing, and labor in advance of your move. You
could even contract a new house to be built just for you and then move there.
Or I could build a new house and rent it or sell it to you. Planning your life
becomes much harder when politicians put roadblocks in your path and try to
make your already hard life more difficult.
If everyone tries to go to the same place at the same time,
prices there usually go way up. If everyone buys a one-way ticket in that
direction, travel in the reverse direction may get much cheaper so that planes,
boats, trains, buses, or taxis do not need to return empty. Hotel, apartment,
or house prices will also go way up if everyone prefers the same location. If
everyone tries to leave a place with bad conditions, prices at that place may
drop from already low to near 0. Those free market processes naturally cause
steady, orderly migration from poorer places to better places, giving most
people new opportunities, higher incomes, and more equality.
Visiting most countries is now easy, and most people in most
developed countries have visited
at least 1 other country, including 76% of Americans, 79% of South Koreans,
92% of Canadians, and 99% of Swedish or Dutch people. For people in small
countries, foreign travel may be more needed and is easier because a short
drive or train ride can take you to the next country. Fewer people in larger,
poorer countries have traveled, such as 3% from India, 6% from Indonesia, 9%
from Nigeria, or 13% from Brazil.
Round-trip
tickets are more expensive than one way. People should now be allowed to
purchase one-way tickets to countries, like we can to states. My ancestors were
not afraid of open borders, and most of them bought one-way tickets without
even visiting first. Within each country, price changes help balance supply
with demand as each person chooses a place they can afford. But people can
become homeless if they cannot afford any place nearby and people can quickly
lose all their wealth without medical insurance. Taxes on people with good
fortune can help people less fortunate. Global taxes can solve global problems.
With free migration, average income may be less for new
arrivals than for current residents because people from poorer places often
have more need to move. Nearly all adults can read and
write in many countries but only about 70% in Africa and 78% in south Asia,
with a world average of only 88%. Before 1865, laws of many U.S. states
prevented slaves from becoming educated. Modern jobs often require some
education. Preventing people from leaving countries with the poorest
education systems almost guarantees that those people will remain poor
forever.
Few countries volunteer to be the most accepting of the
world’s tired, poor, huddled masses yearning to breathe free even if those are
the words on their most famous statue. Instead, current policies of the U.S.
government are more like those of the East German government or like Stalin’s.
If people’s lives are so bad that they feel any place on earth would be better,
our government’s goal is to make their lives even more terrible by deporting
them forever to the worst prisons in El Salvador or in South Sudan with no
chance of escape and where nobody will ever hear from them again. We can force
poor people to stay where they are by convincing them that we can make their
lives even worse if they try to move.
Labor and retirement
Most people work hard for a living but
may fear that an immigrant will work harder or for less pay and take their job.
Or they fear that their job will be exported and given to someone in a place
far away where people work for much lower pay. Decisions of companies and
employers to hire the people most willing to work hard or for less pay keep
costs of goods we buy much lower than if we made them all locally with high
labor costs. Free markets also keep the price of our labor higher than if we
sold goods only locally.
American workers compete for jobs from sea to shining sea,
even to Alaska and Hawaii, because since 1789 states cannot stop out-of-state
workers or products from moving in. For decades, Americans have also accepted
that free trade north of the Great Lakes and south of the Rio Grande benefits
us. Canadians and Mexicans are more likely to help reduce the prices of goods
and services we buy than to take our jobs away. A Canadian or Alaskan might
take your job or offer you a job. A Mexican or a Texan might offer you better
service at lower cost than a native of your state. You can fear them or do
business with them in a free market.
The case for free migration is even stronger after we retire.
Then we will not take anyone’s job, only stimulate the economy of the place
where we go instead of the place where we were. For example, Florida has no
state income tax and so my total federal plus state tax rate is lower on
retirement income than if I had stayed in Maryland. Similarly, some countries
such as Portugal or Spain welcome retirees who have steady income even if you
are not very wealthy.
The reverse question is who will pay for retirement programs
in countries where many young people decide to leave? Tax policies can have big
effects on where people invest or live and how governments support the people
who stay. If someone new moves to your country or state, should they help to
support you or your parents or the parents they may have left behind? Living in
the same tax zone as your parents may be nice but should not be required.
How many will migrate?
Simple math comparing population to
farmland predicts that the United States should have 2.4 times more people than
now. Increasing the U.S. population to the world average density will require 486 million
immigrants. Simple math also predicts where the immigrants
should come from if the goal is to balance population densities. A more
conservative forecast could be 1 new immigrant for each of the 343 million current Americans. If
we want to make America twice as great, we should have twice as many Americans,
or more. Instead, many
thousands of migrants have died trying to enter the U.S., making its border
with Mexico much more deadly than the Communist border was.
If the immigrants all come tomorrow,
they will not each find a good place to stay and will need more places to work
and a larger transportation system. Providing goods and services for twice as
many people will require twice as many workers within a few years. Similarly,
big cities have more people and more jobs, while smaller towns have fewer
people and fewer jobs. People in crowded, wealthy countries such as Japan may
enjoy life where they are and not wish to move, whereas people in poor places
may feel more need to move. Similarly, people in big cities must like it there
because they can move out of town if they want to. The long-term trend was
always to move off farms to find better paying jobs and easier lives in cities,
but remote work now can be done from almost anywhere.
Migration increased slowly in most previous cases when people
got the chance to migrate freely such as within Europe, or former slaves within
the U.S., or colonists after new continents were discovered. Mass migration can
happen quickly when stable lives become unstable. In recent years, millions of
refugees moved from Afghanistan to Pakistan, millions from Ukraine to Poland
and Germany, millions from Syria to Turkey, millions from Myanmar to
Bangladesh, millions from Sudan to Uganda, and millions from Venezuela to
Colombia.
Few refugees have moved to the United States compared to our
size. While our politicians invent new barriers, the real crisis is that we
force people to live in hopeless homes in Haiti, Gaza, etc. instead of letting
them move when they choose to better homes as we do. I migrated to 6 different
states: 21 years in IL, 1 summer in OH, 5 years in IA, 1.5 years in WI, 37
years in MD, and 1 year in FL. Why should you care? You shouldn’t. People move,
and it should be none of your business or Trump’s business where people decide
to live.
Migration is so much easier now than in previous decades,
centuries, or millennia. People in almost every country on earth can hear the
same news, watch the same sports, buy the same products, use the same internet,
communicate directly using their phones, study another language to use when
traveling, or get free translation whenever needed. People everywhere now know
and understand each other much, much better than at any time in history. Most
people from different countries are not scarier than people from different
states.
Why should we plan for free migration and who should plan?
Natural disasters and pandemic diseases happen, and positive events also can
happen unexpectedly such as the fall of the wall or the freeing of slaves. A
good plan can help make sudden changes go more smoothly. Or we can admit that
our long-term goal should be easier migration and rules that will let more
people move every year. Sane nations should increase their limits each year and
cooperate with other nations to share in accepting more immigrants. Businesses,
states, and cities could then invest and compete to bring those new taxpayers
to their location. Immigration causes economic growth if you let the immigrants work.
The current U.S. president’s goal is to
force you and your descendants to remain in the same place forever, especially
if you are poor. If you are rich, then you can go wherever you want. He plans
to charge $100,000
for H-1B work permits and $1
million for a gold card to replace the EB-1 and EB-2 visas, allowing only
people with very high earning potential or already rich to immigrate and
everyone else has to sit still. If you had bad luck, he wants you to suffer
more. His goals are the exact opposite of those on the Statue of Liberty
Enlightening the World: “Give us your tired, your poor, your huddled masses
yearning to breathe free.”
The United Nations’ Universal
Declaration of Human Rights includes these sentences in Article 13:
“Everyone has the right to leave any country, including his own, and to return
to his country,” Article 14: “Everyone has the right to seek and to enjoy in
other countries asylum from persecution,” and Article 15: “No one shall be
arbitrarily deprived of his nationality nor denied the right to change his
nationality.” In 1948, the only major country that objected to those travel
policies was the Soviet Union. In 2025, Russia might now agree but the U.S.
might veto those rights.
My policies on immigration are
conservative. I oppose Communism and favor migration, as Reagan did and the
Wall Street Journal did 40 years ago. I oppose slavery and favor migration, as
Lincoln did 160 years ago. Migration becomes more important each year as travel
gets easier, businesses become global, the climate changes, the rich get
richer, and they try to force the poor to remain in poor places. Instead of
hating or fearing foreigners, you should choose tolerance for others like
Reagan, Lincoln, and Jesus taught and that I studied, remembered, and explained
here to you. Good planning can make America twice as great or even 2.4 times
greater than any plans of our current government.
Words from a previous land owner: Black
Hawk
In northwest Illinois, I grew up often seeing the very large statue
of Black Hawk across the river from our county fairgrounds. After the Black Hawk war in 1832,
immigrants from Europe grew corn on the land where Black Hawk’s nation
previously grew corn, and 2 of my sisters still grow corn there. I inherited 20
Indian arrowheads that my grandfather Martin VanRaden collected while plowing their
land that became his farm. After retiring, I read Black
Hawk’s autobiography for the first time which he wrote during the 10th
moon of 1833. Words from the previous owner of our family’s land are very
educational. Other authors have listed their favorite quotes
from Black Hawk, and my favorite quotes are below:
1)
May you never experience the humility that the
power of the American government has reduced me to, is the wish of him, who, in
his native forests, was once as proud and bold as yourself.
2)
I found by that treaty [of 1804], that all of the country east of the Mississippi, and south of
Jefferson [northern IL and southern WI] was ceded to the United States for one
thousand dollars a year. I will leave it to the people of the United States to
say whether our nation was properly represented in this treaty?
3)
I had not discovered yet one good trait in the
character of the Americans who had come to the country. They made fair promises
but never fulfilled them, while the British made but few, and we could always
rely implicitly on their word.
4)
I touched the goose quill to the treaty not
knowing, however, that, by the act I consented to give away my village. Had
that been explained to me I should have opposed it and never would have signed
their treaty, as my recent conduct will clearly prove.
5)
The whites may do
wrong all their lives, and then if they are sorry for it when about to die, all is well, but with us it is different. We
must continue to do good throughout our lives.
6)
What right had these
people to our village, and our fields, which the Great Spirit had given us to
live upon?
7)
How smooth must be the
language of the whites, when they can make right look like wrong, and
wrong like right.
8)
Here I was again puzzled to find out how the
white people reasoned, and began to doubt whether they
had any standard of right and wrong.
9)
Our braves, but few in
number, finding that the enemy paid no regard to age or sex, and seeing
that they were murdering helpless women and little children, determined to
fight until they were killed. As many women as could, commenced swimming the
Mississippi, with their children on their backs. A number of
them were drowned, and some shot before they could
reach the opposite shore.
10)
I
found to my sorrow, that a large body of Sioux had pursued and killed a number of our women and children, who had got safely
across the Mississippi. The whites ought not to have permitted such conduct,
and none but cowards would ever have been guilty of such cruelty, a habit which
had always been practiced on our nation by the Sioux.
11)
I
recollected that all this land had been ours, for which I and my people had
never received a dollar.
12)
From
the whites, I have learned that one great principle of their religion is ‘to do
unto others as you wish them to do unto you.’ Those people in the mountains
seem to act upon this principle, but the settlers on our frontiers and on our
lands seem never to think of it, if we are to judge by their actions.
13)
The
white man will always be welcome in our village or camps, as a brother. The
tomahawk is buried forever! We will forget what has passed,
and may the watchword between the Americans and the Sacs and Foxes ever
be—FRIENDSHIP.
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migration negative in 2025, new report estimates
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World’s 10 Worst Countries for Education Are In Africa
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Vs. Roundtrip Flights: Which Should You Book? - One Mile at a Time
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Thomas
Jefferson to the Senate, 1804 treaty
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